ProBorea toSpeak at Ports Finance and Investments 2010
ProBorea is proud to have been chosen to speak at the Ports Finance and Investments 4th International Conference at The Grand Amsterdam hotel in Amsterdam on June 1st and 2nd, 2010. The conference will be attended by terminal owners, equity and pension fund operators, bankers, financiers, port authorities, and shipping agents involved in the developing and financing of ports & terminals. The following is an abstract of the paper to be presented. We hope you can attend to hear us speak!
Climate Change
Impacts on Port Investments
By Seth B. Scott
Abstract:
Any investment analysis
of new and existing ports must include the estimated impact of climate change.
Scientists predict several climate change factors within the next 30 years, certainly
within the lifespan of new ports, thus impacting the payback of long-term financing.
Proper due diligence on the part of investors is essential to protect them from
forthcoming changes in the natural environment.
The most obvious impact
is the expectation of rising sea levels. Though estimates differ, a maximum projected
rise of nine meters may jeopardize many port development projects. While
increased sea levels are frequently cited as devastating to lowland areas, they
also create new deep-water port opportunities. By carefully selecting
developments incorporating adaptability, investors ensure long-term
survivability of the investment.`
Opportunities in port
development are already appearing as the melting polar ice cap allows new
transport routes. Shippers have begun plying the Northeast and Northwest
passages, pledging to increase traffic as the traversable season lengthens. Such
trade makes possible, and profitable, port locations in previously unthinkable
areas, such as Churchill in
Manitoba,
Hammerfest in
Norway,
and
NovyPort
in
Siberia. In addition, the utilization of
these routes will decrease the use of the
Suez
and
Panama
canals, leading to a decline in ports serving traditional routes.
In addition to sea
levels and port possibilities, climate change requires a thorough analysis of
accelerated storm damage, increased maintenance budgets, regional preparedness,
seawater salinity changes, and rising insurance rates. Climate change related
issues are not traditionally part of the investor’s analysis process, but they are
increasingly important as the climate, and the oceans, change.